Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 18.163611 21.004364 24.078066 27.642750 31.654478 36.020991 41.124354
2025-09-21 13.073227 16.923484 21.494270 27.280396 34.365729 42.712664 53.238936
2025-09-28 9.911258 14.060056 19.364092 26.553026 35.940302 47.669560 63.304232
2025-10-05 8.706022 13.288580 19.500423 28.377459 40.549697 56.443180 78.511430
2025-10-12 7.709595 12.558771 19.479269 29.832622 44.633265 64.687582 93.494287
2025-10-19 6.639198 11.508288 18.803771 30.194266 47.113715 70.823427 105.936510
2025-10-26 5.740896 10.554276 18.103227 30.364752 49.227680 76.477798 117.953499
2025-11-02 4.891546 9.530156 17.136984 29.973001 50.391085 80.748076 128.151699
2025-11-09 4.152273 8.565737 16.125469 29.359924 51.093673 84.296015 137.402432
2025-11-16 3.519475 7.682904 15.125462 28.627550 51.489001 87.326789 145.961117
2025-11-23 2.936461 6.792090 13.989207 27.520567 51.136372 89.107091 152.618507
2025-11-30 2.693813 6.531286 13.948998 28.298278 53.948966 96.020175 167.612841
2025-12-07 2.420540 6.191678 13.773954 28.915974 56.711619 103.308921 184.110542
2025-12-14 2.057302 5.597424 13.042224 28.453208 57.593692 107.644029 196.251259
2025-12-21 1.722610 4.996557 12.206428 27.684550 57.835910 110.887118 206.751942
2025-12-28 1.658916 5.031360 12.698448 29.573069 63.114582 123.097085 232.984461
2026-01-04 1.567881 4.979406 12.992506 31.080407 67.772560 134.467083 258.336493
2026-01-11 1.405468 4.707067 12.756611 31.454992 70.263397 142.100906 277.571647
2026-01-18 1.250705 4.421222 12.447153 31.631595 72.361207 149.118123 296.042550
2026-01-25 1.083184 4.059239 11.902053 31.225749 73.239865 153.913441 310.749334
2026-02-01 0.927375 3.692858 11.288658 30.590564 73.579141 157.688820 323.757129
2026-02-08 0.788171 3.341249 10.655905 29.831698 73.580123 160.789942 335.637883
2026-02-15 0.654055 2.967055 9.899964 28.684494 72.636903 161.975693 343.961121